Friday 15 May 2009

Eediots with no future. *


 * There's no future, no future,
No future for you

(Sex Pistols, God Save The Queen)

I was thinking about the gsp scam. Their campaign ran 'send us 11 coupons from our paper and we'll give you the chance of winning $1.000.000'. Actually, they lied saying it's a sure thing someone would win that prize. Doesn't matter...

Fact. There were 171 people that entered the final draw. One of them was the "winner", which means he'd be invited to pick up one envelope out of 125. 124 of them offered $3.000 as a prize, the other one $1.000.000. 

Odds: Assuming the 11 coupons anyone could find and send (not true), ... you'd still have to be THAT 1/171-th guy who picks up THAT 1/125-th winning envelope. That gives us odds of 1/171*1/125 - that's somewhere around 0.004%.  

I was thinking. Odds were better if upon sending those 11 coupons you'd be invited and a guy told you "I'm thinking of a number between 1 and 100 - guess it!" and if you guessed right he'd tell you "Once more - number between 1 and 100; guess it!" and again you'b be able to guess the number.  Those odds (highly improbable - obviously) would still be more than double their odds: 0.01%

This is precious.

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